When the United States Supreme Court legalized same-sex marriage nationwide on June 26th, 2015, numerous polls suggested that upwards of 60% of American citizens were in favor of the ruling and 40% were either against it or neutral. Some people speculate that the presiding justices came to their decision partly due to these surveys and how their ruling would seemingly fairly represent the people. After all, it came down to a 5-to-4 vote, which is just about 60% of the justices in favor.
According to an Associated Press poll, however, things have taken a noticeable turn. The survey, which was conducted online between July 9th and July 13th, drew from a panel of 1,004 adults and uses a system that is meant to accurately extrapolate the given answers to represent the entire population. (Associate Press has released an article in regards to the poll and its functions here.) Only now, it reported that just 42% of Americans were in favor of legalizing same-sex marriages while 40% were opposed to it, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4%. What has changed to create this dramatic swing?
Investigating the Results
There seems to be one prevalent cause for the drop in favor for same-sex marriage legalization that people are studying. That is that people who were on the fence or only slightly in favor before the June ruling changed their mind to a more neutral stance upon seeing the nation's overall reaction to the controversy. Groups had expressed immediately that they felt that states' rights and religious freedoms were violated by the decision, and it is possible that the supporters "on the edge" listened and stepped back.
It is also entirely possible that the Associated Press-GFK poll, just like any other survey, is only representative of the thousand people questioned and not necessarily the rest of the population. Regardless of the accuracy of its extrapolation, it is interesting to see such a change in even a sample size of that measure.
It is not clear whether or not this poll and upcoming will have any effect on the ruling but they will likely be referenced by opposition to the decision. If you live in California and would like to know how your rights have changed after the Supreme Court's decision, especially in regards to newfound divorce rights, feel free to contact a Roseville divorce attorney from Herrig & Vogt, LLP today. Our AV® Rated by Martindale-Hubbell® lawyers can help you get through any divorce issues that might be troubling you. Schedule your free initial consultation today.